Silver stays buoyed with gains of 1% so far today, what levels to watch?


Silver trades at the highs for the day ahead of North American trading

Silver H1 15-02
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With gold looking rather underwhelming to start the year, plenty of attention in the precious metals space has turned to silver (and platinum) – especially with the recent run in the former towards $30 to kick start the new year.

While that may have been largely driven by speculative positions capitalising on the hype from the retail trading frenzy, it also serves as an acknowledgment for underlying sentiment in silver i.e. market still looking for bullish bets.

For now, silver looks to be in the process of consolidating but is taking aim at last week’s highs around $27.80. Of note, it is pushing against the 38.2 retracement level @ $27.51 and looking to hold a daily close above that (it did not last week).

Drilling into price action, buyers are in near-term control as long as price holds above the key hourly moving averages @ $27.03-22. Further support is then seen closer to $26.70-82 from the lows last week.

Meanwhile, last week’s highs near $27.80 and the $28.00 level (50.0 retracement level) are key resistance points to focus on if the upside move extends this week.

The contrast between gold and silver is rather evident from the year-to-date performance. While gold is down 4%, silver is up by nearly 5% as the rally in the commodities space continues – helped by the return of the reflation narrative this year as well.

That said, much like gold, positioning play is also something to consider for silver. While physical demand is still looking solid, futures are paring back a little after the surge of inflow two weeks back as highlighted here at the time.
Silver

Regardless, I would argue that any dip back towards $25 to $26 is one to buy into as long as the current set of fundamentals remain in play for silver. The 100-day moving average also provides some support closer to $25, if one is looking for technical comfort.



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By Jonathan Prop

Jonathan Prop is an independent financial advisor. He has been working in finance for the last 20 years. After retiring early in his 40s, Jonathan decided to help others get to grip with financial markets, particularly his area of expertise - forex!

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